Thursday

Daily analysis and trading strategies 1-14-10

by LiviucloseAuthor: Liviu Name: Liviu Flesar
Site: http://www.innerfx.com
About: I am an independant currency trader providing currency market analysis mainly for two reasons: 1. to improve my discipline, keeping a clear track record of my own thoughts, analyzing both my good and bad expectations on market moves; 2. sharing my thoughts with other traders, hoping they may benefit from my opinions and experience. I don't call myself a veteran or trading guru of some sort as there's a lot more I have to learn, a lot more I have to see and my 8 years experience into currency trading is not enough proof that I will be successful during the next 8 years. I dare to believe that my articles are useful to many traders from around the world and I strive to improve in my attempt to become a better and more accurate writer. innerfx.com is my own project, a blog about currency trading where I share my commentaries and market thoughts. The site has been launched to address the needs of other currency traders and also to keep a track record of my articles. I am not fully dedicated to currency trading because I want to diversify my knowledge, therefore I am involved in different areas.See Authors Posts (1403) on January 14, 2010 – 7:18 am GMT | 1 Comment |

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EURUSD

Trading strategy: stand aside

The euro holds recent gains ahead of today’s ECB Interest Rate decision at 12:45 GMT – expected to remain unchanged at 1%. Other important economic events today are: Retail Sales and Initial Jobless Claims in the U.S. at 13:30 GMT. Technically speaking, momentum in the daily frame is positive as higher highs into the 1.45 region are in focus since Monday’s rally – extension of negative NFP’s reaction. While the dollar is under constant pressure–odds favor further climbing of euro, aiming the 1.4600 handle, potentially 1.4700 later. A sustained break above current consolidation range, particularly by closing a daily bar above 1.4530/50, is yet to be seen in order to have a meaningful bullish confirmation. In case of a pullback from current levels, intra-day support levels to watch are: 1.4450/70 which provided a bottom over the last two days, backed by the 1.4400 handle and 1.4330/50 lower. Current exchange rate is 1.4544 @07:15 GMT

Support: 1.4450/70, 1.4400/20, 1.4330/50 and 1.4250
Resistance: 1.4550/80, 1.4600 and 1.4700
Market sentiment: long term – bullish, medium term – slightly bullish, short term – bullish, intra-day – bullish

NZDUSD

Trading strategy: short at .7520, stop at .7570 (1% risk), 1st objective at .7470, 2nd objective at .7420

The kiwi dollar continues to trade in a narrow range against the buck, but holding gains above .7400 so far. Intra-day resistance comes near current market levels – at .7430. A potential break out above the .7430 top should be met with renewed buying along with short covering, hence opening .7500 which is a more notable barrier to watch – formed by November’s top where gains have been limited, initiating a 500 points corrective phase. Both short-term and intra-day charts are in a bullish stance and things should remain unchanged as long as .7300 is there to support the bulls (short-term basis). Current exchange rate is .7424 @07:15 GMT

Support: .7400, .7350, .7300 and .7250/85
Resistance: .7430/50, .7500 and .7600/30
Market sentiment: long term – bullish, medium term – bullish, short term – bullish, intra-day – bullish

Have a good day!