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Daily technical outlook for Monday 07-20-2009

EURUSD

Trading strategy: long at 1.4120, initial stop at 1.4060, objective at 1.4200. Adjust stop to breakeven on +30 pips (at 1.4150) if reached

Upside is under renewed pressure as the euro gained 80 points since the Asian session open. Minor resistance at 1.4150/65 doesn’t seem to hold as the pair trades comfortably into the 1.4170-1.4180 region at the time of this writing. Support is seen at 1.4100 backed by 1.4030/50 and 1.3970 – lower. Both short-term and intra-day studies are positive, upside being favored. Next objective is seen at 1.4250 – above of 1.4200 which is an interim barrier, most likely easy to breach. Current exchange rate is 1.4170 @06:15 GMT

Support levels: 1.4100, 1.4050, 1.4015 and 1.3970
Resistance levels: 1.4200, 1.4250 and 1.4340
Market sentiment: long-term : bearish, mid-term : bullish, short-term : bullish

Friday trading strategy: small long at 1.4160, initial stop at 1.4110, objective at 1.4245. Adjust stop to breakeven on +30 pips (at 1.4190) if reached : 0 (entry not reached)

AUDUSD

Trading strategy: stand aside

Trend line resistance into the .8070 zone – forming the upper band of the downtrend channel is under pressure, the Aussie dollar trading near the .8100 mark at the time of this writing. The channel’s breakout will be a significant bullish signal and next short-term objectives at .8150 and .8250/60 should get focused. On the downside, support is emerging at .8000 backed by .7970/80 and .7925. Current exchange rate is .8077 @06:15 GMT

Support levels: .8000, .7970/80, .7925 and .7870
Resistance levels: .8100, .8150, .8200 and .8250/60
Market sentiment: long-term : bearish, mid-term : bullish, short-term : bullish

Friday trading strategy: stand aside

EURCHF

Trading strategy: stand aside

Resistance at 1.5230 should be cleared out in order to signal a resume of the uptrend, but while the daily range remains so low – the euro won’t get to far above 1.5230 if it breaks. Short-term momentum is slightly bullish since the break of 1.5170. Intra-day sentiment is also positive, price action suggesting further upside action within the coming sessions. Current exchange rate is 1.5216 @06:15 GMT

Support levels: 1.5170, 1.5100, 1.5050 and 1.5000/10
Resistance levels: 1.5235/50, 1.5300 and 1.5350
Market sentiment: long-term : bearish, mid-term : bearish, short-term : neutral

Friday trading strategy: stand aside

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