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Markets Awaiting Non-Farm Payrolls

Quote of the day:“A sailor without a destination cannot hope for a favorable wind.” ~ Leon Tec

Good morning. The market remains rather choppy as rumours and surprises have been the main drivers this week, so it’s not easy to find charts that don’t look the same these days. The euro trades higher across the board after Greek Prime Minister declared that Greece won’t hold a referendum. The ECB unexpectedly lowered rates to 1.25% at Draghi’s first meeting as ECB President and the dollar is currently recovering some modest ground ahead of NFP and Unemployment report coming out later today. The NFP data and G20 comments are likely to be the main movers today.

EURUSD

Support around 50% fib retracement of last up leg remains intact after several tests and it seems that current recovery will continue. 1.400 is where next important resistance is formed.

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-4-2011

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-4-2011

GBPUSD

Cable holds onto gains around 1.600 after swinging in both directions and resistance between 1.6020 and 1.6050 is intact so far. I remain bearish on intraday / near-term basis while it holds below 1.6050.

British Pound Vs US Dollar Chart Hourly 11-4-2011

British Pound Vs US Dollar Chart Hourly 11-4-2011

USDCAD

I’m still keeping an eye on the resistance zone highlighted below, as current pullback to 1.0050 is probably corrective.

US Dollar Vs Canadian Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-4-2011

US Dollar Vs Canadian Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-4-2011

EURAUD

Not a clear buying opportunity yet, but maybe the consolidation will end sometimes soon. In such case, I’d prefer prefer the bullish scenario

Euro Vs Australian Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-4-2011

Euro Vs Australian Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-4-2011

Have a great day and good luck trading!

- Continue reading: Markets Awaiting Non-Farm Payrolls

Euro Down Ahead of ECB Meeting

Quote of the day: “The central irony of financial crisis is that while it is caused by too much confidence, too much borrowing and lending and too much spending, it can only be resolved with more confidence, more borrowing and lending, and more spending.” ~ Lawrence Summers

Good morning. The euro is back below $1.3700 facing more downside pressure as Germany and France give Greece ultimatum on euro, saying that it would not receive another aid package until it decides whether it remains in the euro-zone. The most important events today are the ECB Rate Decision and the G20 Cannes Summit.

EURUSD

Trading lower ahead of ECB rate decision, more greek drama. Resistance near 1.3850 mentioned yesterday held, so the short-term sentiment remains bearish. 1.3500/50 is where next support levels is seen

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-3-2011

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-3-2011

GBPUSD

Yesterday’s rally to 1.6040/50 was corrective, therefore selling the rally -as noted yesterday – was a good plan. I don’t think that a change in sentiment is due, so looking for more selling opportunities on rallies towards 1.5970/00 might be a good bet.

British Pound Vs US Dollar Chart Hourly 11-3-2011

British Pound Vs US Dollar Chart Hourly 11-3-2011

AUDCAD

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- Continue reading: Euro Down Ahead of ECB Meeting

Wednesday Links 11/02/11

Here’s a couple of links you might enjoy

and two must-watch videos

European bailout explained:

Nassim Taleb – The Banks Have Hijacked the Government:

Have a great evening

- Continue reading: Wednesday Links 11/02/11

Markets Under Pressure; Eyes on FOMC, Bernanke

Quote of the day: “I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies.” ~ Thomas Jefferson

Good morning. The euro continued to decline, reaching a session low at $1.3608 before rallying on rumors that Greek referendum will be canceled. Fed’s Bernanke speech and the FOMC rate decision are today’s key events of the economic calendar, so the market will probably stay rather quiet until later today.

EURUSD

current consolidation near support zone after a fast decline suggests that a correction is likely – therefore, keep an eye on 1.3850-1.3900 if EUR recovers, that’s where first resistance is seen

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-2-2011

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-2-2011

AUDNZD

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- Continue reading: Markets Under Pressure; Eyes on FOMC, Bernanke

Risk-Off Trade Returns

Quote of the day: “Everyone is born with genius, but most people only keep it a few minutes.” ~ Edgard Varese

Good morning. Dollar is advancing higher while the euro, Aussie dollar and others are pulling back in risk-off trade as Italian bonds came under renewed pressure yesterday. The euro is already trading well below last week’s pre Brussels agreement market levels. It is a busy week – interest rate decisions being the most important events of the economic calendar, but also the NFP data on Friday.

USD Index

As seen below – the dollar has closed above resistance yesterday and the said line is again providing support. Well, it’s the risk-on / risk-off pattern that dominates the market since the crisis began.

USD Index Chart Daily 11-1-2011

USD Index Chart Daily 11-1-2011

EURUSD

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- Continue reading: Risk-Off Trade Returns

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