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10 Trading Lessons You Can Learn From George Bernard Shaw

George Bernard Shaw

Born in Dublin, Ireland, in 1856, George Bernard Shaw grew to become one of Great Britain’s greatest and most controversial playwrights. Shaw’s father, a corn merchant, was an alcoholic and therefore there was very little money to spend on George’s education. George went to local schools but never went to university and was largely self-taught.

He was also a co-founder of the London School of Economics, won the Nobel Prize in Literature in 1925 and an Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay (Pygmalion) in 1938.

G. Bernard Shaw had quite a bit to say during his lifetime, so here are 10 of his many quotes and what we, as traders, can learn from

1. Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance.

Don’t believe everything you find on the Internet. There are thousands of trading related websites out there and many of them are created by people who know little or nothing about what they’re talking about or – worse – what they want you to buy. Remember to always do your due diligence. In trading, delusion costs you time and money.

2. Everything happens to everybody sooner or later if there is time enough.

Patience is very important. Don’t expect to achieve your goals in just a few weeks or months. It takes time and dedication to learn what you need to know in order to survive the market.

3. He who can, does. He who cannot, teaches.

It’s no secret that most traders fail and quit trading relatively fast. We should accept the fact that trading is not for everyone. Kind of like politics, burglary, pest control, high-rise window washing, surgery, quantitative engineering etc. – just insert other dangerous, high skill requiring or even disgusting jobs that only a few people are able to do.
Will you be one of those to quit trading someday? Here is a good exit plan for those who eventually accept the fact that trading is not for them: Did you learn a lot of things about trading, although it didn’t work out, but can be helpful for some people? – Then write a book or a trading course and sell it :)

4. Man can climb to the highest summits, but he cannot dwell there long

There are cycles everywhere. Being successful is a cycle which, sooner or later – or on a long enough timeline – always comes to an end. Enjoy it and do good things while it lasts.

5. People who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it.

If you finally find something that works for you and you enjoy what you do, don’t let other people tell you that you are doing it wrong.

6. Success does not consist in never making mistakes but in never making the same one a second time.

What are your biggest trading mistakes? Do you remember them? It’s always a good idea to write them down on a list and check that list on a regular basis. Try to find patterns as there’s often a tight relation between smaller mistakes – resulting in trading mistakes of greater magnitude.

7. The minority is sometimes right; the majority always wrong.

More than 90% of traders lose and that’s a fact. Do you believe that doing exactly the same things they do, trading exactly the same way they trade, expecting the same thing they expect – will make you one of the few that are successful? Then you are most likely wrong.

8. We must always think about things, and we must think about things as they are, not as they are said to be.

Details matter, but try to see the forest for the trees. Don’t let the gigantic river of news, opinions, rumours influence your beliefs, plans and strategies.

9. If you have an apple and I have an apple and we exchange these apples then you and I will still each have one apple. But if you have an idea and I have an idea and we exchange these ideas, then each of us will have two ideas.

Unless you found the “holy grail of trading”, it’s a good idea to share information with others. Sometimes many small ideas equal a big one.

10. Progress is impossible without change, and those who cannot change their minds cannot change anything

Always adapt: understand new market dynamics and be ready to go with the flow.

This is all for now. If you liked this article, you may want to check a similar one: 10 trading lessons to learn from Albert Einstein

Feedback is always welcome, so feel free to post your comments below

- Continue reading: 10 Trading Lessons You Can Learn From George Bernard Shaw

Dollar Down After Fed; Euro, Risk Pairs, Metals Rally

Believe those who are seeking the truth. Doubt those who find it. ~ Andre Gide

Good morning. Dollar’s decline continues as Fed says interest rates are likely to stay near zero through late 2014. Therefore, euro, risk pairs and metals rallied big-time – as seen on the charts below. Important events in today’s FX Calendar are: Core Durable Goods, Initial Jobless Claims and New Home Sales

USD Index

Now that support around 79.50 has been breached and the buck is testing session lows, it’s not a good idea to buy dips but rather consider new selling opportunities with stops above former support zone and/or yesterday’s high.

USD Index Chart Daily 1-26-2012

USD Index Chart Daily 1-26-2012

EURUSD

The breakout scenario mentioned yesterday occurred after Fed’s rate decision and now it’s time to expect former resistance at 1.3050 to provide support on dips.

EURUSD Chart 4hrs 1-26-2012

EURUSD Chart 4hrs 1-26-2012

On the daily chart there’s a long tailed candlestick formed yesterday, suggesting that recovery is still strong and pullbacks are finding decent bids.

EURUSD Chart Daily 1-26-2012

EURUSD Chart Daily 1-26-2012

Silver

Silver provides another nice breakout setup so it’s best to keep an eye on this resistance around 33 which is being tested at time of writing

Silver Chart Daily 1-26-2012

Silver Chart Daily 1-26-2012

AUDJPY

As I stated before, AUDJPY is one of the main pairs EURUSD is following right now. 83 is getting closer, acting like a magnet, so no matter what you’re planning to do – be that selling on strength or buying more on the potential breakout – it’s best to wait until this level will be tested, probably a matter of hours.

AUDJPY Chart Daily 1-26-2012

AUDJPY Chart Daily 1-26-2012

EURGBP

EURGBP is back at resistance zone after a short visit to the downside where it found bids yesterday. As said two days ago, I think it would be a good bet to buy on the potential breakout higher – targeting .8500/25

EURGBP Chart Daily 1-26-2012

EURGBP Chart Daily 1-26-2012

AUDNZD

AUD is facing resistance around 1.300 so it is still a good idea to keep an eye on 1.2900 which has a good chance to break soon

AUDNZD Chart 4hrs 1-26-2012

AUDNZD Chart 4hrs 1-26-2012

have a great day!

- Continue reading: Dollar Down After Fed; Euro, Risk Pairs, Metals Rally

Euro Testing Resistance, Dollar Down Ahead of FOMC

The safest way to double your money is to fold it over and put it in your pocket. ~ Kin Hubbard

Good morning. Euro holds onto gains fairly well and managed to recover after dropping to as low as $1.2953 yesterday, which turned out to be a corrective move. Dollar continues to push on support around 79.50 which should provide clues of further weakness towards 77 if breached, eventually. Today’s economic schedule is quite busy and there are some key events such as: German Ifo, Draghi’s Speech, Fed Interest Rate Decision and FOMC Statement

USD Index

So we’re looking at a rather classic pattern of resistance becoming pivotal support, being tested several times. While it holds, we can say that the downward movement is corrective but this is the 3rd day now and there’s no strong reversal candle to be seen around these levels, and that pops up a big warning sign suggesting that the decline ain’t over yet.

US Dollar Chart Daily 1-25-2012

US Dollar Chart Daily 1-25-2012

EURUSD

As most short-term and intraday charts suggest these days, euro’s recovery is quite strong mainly due to mass short-covering and the positive correlation to more risk-sensitive instruments such as AUD.

EURUSD Chart Hourly 1-25-2012

EURUSD Chart Hourly 1-25-2012

On the daily chart below we can see that a resistance layer formed by recent highs of December’s second half is about to be tested as price is approaching 1.3050. This is a potential breakout scenario to consider, until potential signs of a resuming decline will become obvious. For now I remain bullish on EURUSD (short-term) but not because of EUR but because of other/stronger instruments which I’m expecting to continue appreciating.

EURUSD Chart Daily 1-25-2012

EURUSD Chart Daily 1-25-2012

Silver

Silver holds onto strength consolidating below 32.50-33 interim resistance, which I believe to be the next breakout zone to keep an eye on.  (more…)

- Continue reading: Euro Testing Resistance, Dollar Down Ahead of FOMC

Dollar at Support Zone, Euro Continues Recovery

We don’t see things as they are, we see things as we are. ~ Anais Nin

Good morning. Dollar’s decline continues as euro just popped through $1.300 yesterday, recovering from early bids around $1.2900.

USD Index

As seen in the daily chart below, key support level formed by the horizontal line which was a temporary top is now being tested. If this level fails, then we’ll probably see bids tested in the 77-78 range soon. So far there’s no sign to suggest that this potential correction is over.

USD Chart Daily 1-24-2012

USD Index Chart Daily 1-24-2012

EURUSD

Recovery is very strong as there are many shorts being covered. Yesterday’s test of support zone around 1.2900 was indeed corrective, as most the poll responders expected. Next upside barrier to keep an eye on is at 1.31500 – not really far from here.

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 1-24-2012

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 1-24-2012

Silver

Silver maintains a bid tone climbing towards 33 where next resistance is seen. In case of an intraday pullback, 31.50 is a level which bulls probably want to defend. Potential breach of 33 in the coming days should provide yet another buying opportunity (more…)

- Continue reading: Dollar at Support Zone, Euro Continues Recovery

Euro Starts the Week Lower, Testing Support Zone

It’s human nature to find patterns where there are none and to find skill where luck is a more likely – William Bernstein

Good morning. Euro opened lower this week, erasing most of Thursday’s gains, therefore dollar index found support at 80:

USD Index

USD Index Chart Daily 1-23-2012

USD Index Chart Daily 1-23-2012

EURUSD

4hrs chart still looks bullish as current decline could be corrective. Next support backs the highlighted range at 1.2800, which is also the median retrace value of the entire up leg from 1.2625 to 1.2980

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 1-23-2012

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 1-23-2012

According to COT data, bearish positions are printing fresh records each week:

EURUSD COT Daily 1-23-2012

EURUSD COT Daily 1-23-2012

Silver

It was rather clear that a breakout was underway and its target at 32.50 was reached earlier than I’ve been expecting. What’s next? well, corrections are normal after such vertical moves, so keep an eye on next support range around 31.50, if a correction is due. I remain bullish on silver, expecting more upside action.  (more…)

- Continue reading: Euro Starts the Week Lower, Testing Support Zone

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