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Setups to Watch This Week 6/13/11

Greetings. There are some setups worth watching in the coming days, such as the following:

GBPUSD: recent sell-offs are suggesting that more pressure on the trendline around 1.6150 is likely, and current lower-highs formation is intact – therefore keep an eye on the highlighted resistance zone if current recovery continues. I think it’s worth looking for selling opportunities around 1.6400 if the recovery extends higher and such candlesticks are exactly what to wait for. Selling on the break lower is also a decent plan, at least in theory.

GBPUSD daily chart 6-13-2011
GBPUSD daily chart 6-13-2011

EURGBP: current sell-off is quite strong, as seen in the daily chart below, and the pair appears headed for more weakness – .8650/60 being the next important support zone.

EURGBP daily chart 6-13-2011
EURGBP daily chart 6-13-2011

USDJPY: 61.8% retrace value of last up leg is providing support at 80, which is under pressure since a week ago. Will it hold? Well, I don’t think so, and will carefully watch this 80 zone.

USDJPY daily chart 6-13-2011
USDJPY daily chart 6-13-2011

NZDUSD: uptrend is still strong if we look at the whole picture but maybe it’s time for a new correction, and this support zone at .8100 is quite fragile, so it’s worth to consider selling on break below with a target @.7800.

NZDUSD daily chart 6-13-2011
NZDUSD daily chart 6-13-2011

AUDJPY: Risk sensitive pairs such as AUDJPY are being hurt by declining equities, so a break below 84.50 is possible – following USDJPY below 80.

AUDJPY daily chart 6-13-2011
AUDJPY daily chart 6-13-2011

This is all for now. I’ll post an update in a couple of days and will most likely share some other setups soon.

Cheers!

- Continue reading: Setups to Watch This Week 6/13/11

EURUSD Finding Interim Support at 1.4330

Quote of the day: “There can be as much value in the blink of an eye as in months of rational analysis.” - Malcolm Gladwell

EURUSD - 1.4350 @06:45 GMT

Good morning. Support at 1.4330 formed by the half retrace value of 1.3970 to 1.4695 is being tested at time of writing as the euro’s decline continued on Friday. My plan to sell at 1.4550 worked well and I closed the entire position at 1.4350. In case of a pullback to the upside, a possible selling point stands around 1.4430, but it’s never late to look for selling opportunities when a breakdown is likely, therefore keep an eye on this 1.4300/30 support zone, because a potential break would open the door for a slide towards $1.400. Both daily and 4-hrs studies are currently bearish and will stay this way while the pair holds below 1.4500. Today’s notable event in the FX Calendar is Trichet’s Speech at 14:00 GMT.

Trading strategy: looking to sell on potential pullback to 1.4430, initial stop at 1.4480 (0.5% risk), target open

(more…)

- Continue reading: EURUSD Finding Interim Support at 1.4330

Sunday Links 6/12/11

Today’s articles worth reading:

Goldman’s Charts That Matter in FX This Week (zero hedge)

What the U.S. Dollar and the Euro Mean to the SP500 (Safehaven)

Full List Of 2011 Bilderberg Conference Attendees (zero hedge)

Gold, The Real Reason for the Fall of Dominique Strauss-Kahn (Market Oracle)

U.S. Underwrites Internet Detour Around Censors Abroad (NY Times)

In Radical Change To ECB’s Tune, Bundesbank Confident Euro Can Withstand Greek Default (zero hedge)

IMF Computers Said to Be Targeted in State-Based Cyber-Attack (Business Week)

High-Level American Officials Admit that the United States Uses False Flag Terror . . . And Warn of Future Attacks (The Big Picture)

Greek Tragedy: The Unbearable Absurdity Of The Euro (Business Insider)

Pentagon’s New Factory: Your DNA (Wired)

Dogs can instinctively sense a friendly face (Telegraph)

Italy: A Colorful Land of Wine (Visual News)

Behind the Scenes Gallery (Chive)

Podgorny house: A house built inside a hill (Chive)

Enjoy

- Continue reading: Sunday Links 6/12/11

EURUSD Sold-Off After ECB Meeting

Quote of the day: “Another flaw in the human character is that everybody wants to build and nobody wants to do maintenance” - Kurt Vonnegut

EURUSD – 1.4482 @06:40 GMT

Good morning. The euro is trading lower across the board as downside pressure is amplifying despite yesterday’s ECB signal that it will raise interest rates next month. One might ask why it declines when it’s quite clear that a rate hike is due in July? Well, the sell-off was mainly caused by lacking clues of interest rates beyond July and if you’re familiar with the market – then you already know that the market “likes” to react different than widely expected, especially because a rate hike was (and still is) priced in. Now that interim support at 1.4550 was broken, I think we’re going to see more weakness and a test of 1.4400 later today. My plan to sell on break of support at 1.4550/60 worked well so far and I’ll be holding the position with a stop around breakeven and an open target, probably looking to close half of it later today if the decline continues, leaving half open over the weekend. Today’s most important event in the economic calendar is a speech by Trichet in Frankfurt.

Trading strategy: holding short at 1.4550/60, with stop at breakeven, target open

(more…)

- Continue reading: EURUSD Sold-Off After ECB Meeting

Thursday Links 6/9/11

Today’s links:

Professional Versus Self-Taught FX Traders; A Long/Short Hedge (No Brainer Trades)

Risk, probability, and how our brains are easily misled (Arstechnica)

US economy: Decoding Bernanke (Global Post)

Trichet Signals July Rate Rise (WSJ)

NEIN, Herr Schäuble (FT Alphaville)

The Stark Choice for Europe (The Big Picture)

Fukushima nuclear plant may have suffered ‘melt-through’, Japan admits (Guardian)

5 WikiLeaks Hits of 2011 That Are Turning the World on Its Head — And That the Media Are Ignoring (AlterNet)

German Federal Constitutional Court To Challenge Greek Bailout, Claims Action Is Unconstitutional (zero hedge)

Deutsche Bank: Why The China Hard Landing Is Wrong (Business Insider)

Cheezburger founder tells newspapers what they have been doing wrong (The Guardian)

15 Facts About Coca-Cola That Will Blow Your Mind (Business Insider)

These jobs suck (The Chive)

Motivational Posters from the Band of Brothers (18 pics) (Acidcow)

Enjoy, have a great evening!

- Continue reading: Thursday Links 6/9/11

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