Subscribe to the Newsletter E-mail Alerts Follow me on twitter Follow on twitter Become a fan on Facebook Become a Fan Subscribe to the RSS Feed RSS
 

Euro, Aussie Dollar Start the Week Higher

“Never stand begging for that which you have the power to earn.” ~ Miguel de Cervantes

Good morning. The dollar is pulling back as risk trade returns – both AUDUSD and AUDJPY recovering some of last week’s losses. The euro is following but the gains remain modest so far. Here’s a bunch of charts to start the week:

EURUSD

A recovery is underway as optimism is driving the market higher at the moment. Well, I have a strong feeling that it’s the bears who are enjoying a recovery more than the bulls – since that would mean better levels to sell the euro. 1.3450 is the first level to look for new selling opportunities, followed by a stronger barrier higher, at 1.3650

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-28-2011

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-28-2011

AUDJPY

Aussie’s correction is stronger than euro’s but the cross is still trading far below key resistance levels – such as former support level around 77.50. Near term sentiment remains bearish as long as 80 is at a safe distance.

Australian Dollar Vs Japanese Yen Chart Daily 11-28-2011

Australian Dollar Vs Japanese Yen Chart Daily 11-28-2011

GBPCHF

Regular readers know I’ve been keeping an eye on recent support around 1.4250 – looking to sell on the breakdown. But, as said in my previous report, I was rather cautions because the CHF pairs were almost “screaming” for a new intervention or a new statement, hence SNB’s comments came at no surprise. New traders fascinated by the amount of computer numbers money exchanged every day in FX markets are often asking how much money does it take to move the markets. The answer is none…. all it takes is the right statement or rumors, coming from the right persons or institutions, at the right time. Knowing how sensitive to rumors and (more or less official) statements this market is should help you on the long run. But, speaking of GBPCHF – selling it is not a good idea right now, as resistance is under pressure, so I’m putting the bearish plan on-hold. Perhaps buying on the break higher is the best bet.

British Pound Vs Swiss Franc Chart 4hrs 11-28-2011

British Pound Vs Swiss Franc Chart 4hrs 11-28-2011

USDCAD

1.0500 has been reached and a correction occurred. The pullback is rather normal, so I think it’s best to buy dips – perhaps a bit lower than current 1.0400: 1.0300-1.0350

US Dollar Vs Canadian Dollar Chart Daily 11-28-2011

US Dollar Vs Canadian Dollar Chart Daily 11-28-2011

EURAUD

It looks that it’s time for a new large swing towards support zone around 1.32.

Euro Vs Australian Dollar Chart Daily 11-28-2011

Euro Vs Australian Dollar Chart Daily 11-28-2011

Have a great week and good luck trading!

- Continue reading: Euro, Aussie Dollar Start the Week Higher

Euro Recovers Ahead of Quiet Sessions

The quantity of civilization is measured by the quality of imagination. ~ Victor Hugo

Good morning. Next trading sessions are likely to be quiet due to Thanksgiving holiday – or, who knows? perhaps the euro finally has a chance to recover some ground on today’s data coming from Germany: GDP and Ifo Index

EURUSD

First intraday resistance stands around 1.3450, formed by both recent bottom and the median retracement value of last down leg, followed by 1.3500 just a bit higher. I remain bearish on EURUSD but can’t say at this moment whether it would be a good idea to sell on a rally today or tomorrow, as the market should be rather quiet. Or low volume trade is going to cause some huge spikes? Well, we all like to expect the unexpected

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart Hourly 11-24-2011

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart Hourly 11-24-2011

GBPUSD

62% fib support highlighted yesterday was, indeed, weak – so cable is currently trading lower, bouncing off support at 1.5500. Keep an eye on the 1.5600/50 intraday resistance zone as the pair gains some ground

British Pound Vs US Dollar Chart Daily 11-24-2011

British Pound Vs US Dollar Chart Daily 11-24-2011

GBPCHF

Support around 1.4250 is still intact but best thing to do, in my opinion, is still to look for selling opportunities on the potential break lower. Cautious though, as any new comments coming from SNB would push it to 1.45 faster than you can spell “stop loss” (more…)

- Continue reading: Euro Recovers Ahead of Quiet Sessions

Midweek Risk-Off Charts to Watch

Mix a little foolishness with your prudence: It’s good to be silly at the right moment. ~ Horace

Good morning. The euro continues to lose ground as all recent rallies have been sold. However, support around 1.3430 is still valid but the pair certainly feels quite heavy, so it seems that it’s only a matter of time until it breaks lower. Some of important events of today’s FX Calendar are the US Initial Jobless Claims and Core Durable Goods Orders

USD Index

Dollar Index Chart Daily 11-23-2011

Dollar Index Chart Daily 11-23-2011

EURUSD

Notable resistance is formed around 1.3650 but it seems quite hard to reach such levels. Selling into strength remains the best bet for now

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-23-2011

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-23-2011

USDCAD

I’m bullish on USDCAD since it was testing 1.0230/50 and now that the breakout is very clear, it’s time to expect next target to be reached – at 1.0550 or higher. Buying dips if price pulls back is a plan to consider.

US Dollar Vs Canadian Dollar Chart Daily 11-23-2011

US Dollar Vs Canadian Dollar Chart Daily 11-23-2011

GBPUSD

I guess that every fibonacci fan is long at these levels since 3 days ago but it doesn’t look good at all. As seen below – the 50% test was a better (temporary) reversal point than current test of 62%, so far. One possible scenario is to sell on the break lower, below fib support.  (more…)

- Continue reading: Midweek Risk-Off Charts to Watch

Euro Starts the Week Lower; Dollar Extends Friday Recovery

Quote of the day:“Be wiser than other people, if you can, but do not tell them so.” ~ Lord Chesterfield

Good morning. Dollar holds onto gains as euro’s rally on Friday was short lived and sellers rushed in when price reached $1.3600/15, not far below $1.3650 – the barrier highlighted in my previous post.

Dollar Index

80 is current important objective to the upside as the recovery is stable

USD Index Chart Daily 11-21-2011

USD Index Chart Daily 11-21-2011

EURUSD

Selling into strength is probably still the best thing to do – as seen on Friday

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-21-2011

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-21-2011

USDCAD

Positively correlated to USD Index – USDCAD continues to strengthen after testing support on Friday. Buying dips or holding long with decent stops work well so far.

US Dollar Vs Canadian Dollar Chart Daily 11-21-2011

US Dollar Vs Canadian Dollar Chart Daily 11-21-2011

GBPUSD

Cable certainly feels heavy after Friday’s sell-off and support around 50% fib of the recent recovery from 1.5270 to 1.6160. If risk-off trade continues to develop in coming sessions, then selling on the breakdown of 50% support is a scenario to consider.  (more…)

- Continue reading: Euro Starts the Week Lower; Dollar Extends Friday Recovery

AUD Leading the Way Down in Risk-off Trade

Quote of the day:“Strange as it seems, no amount of learning can cure stupidity, and higher education positively fortifies it.” ~ Stephen Vizinczey

Good morning. Risk sensitive currencies such as AUD fell yesterday, following the US equities. The euro held quite well and is still trading above 1.3400 where it found interim support.

EURUSD

Not much to see in this chart right now as the euro is consolidating between 1.3430 and 1.3530. Metals and AUD crosses are more interesting

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-18-2011

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 11-18-2011

AUDUSD

As mentioned just two days ago when 50% support was still intact – AUDUSD was, indeed, just lagging behind AUDJPY which already breached below the said support. Next support to watch is around 62% – 100 points below parity.

Australian Dollar Vs US Dollar Chart Daily 11-18-2011

Australian Dollar Vs US Dollar Chart Daily 11-18-2011

AUDJPY

And here’s the faster “risk oscillator”. As you can see, 62% is already being tested, so don’t expect any sudden reversal on AUDUSD yet (more…)

- Continue reading: AUD Leading the Way Down in Risk-off Trade

Stay up to date

Participate in the dot-com bubble 2.0 by connecting to innerfx on your favorite social site.

© 2004-2011 FX Trading Blog - innerfx.com - About | Terms of Use | Disclaimer | Privacy Policy | Contact