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	<title>Comments on: Short-term outlook (12/15-12/25)</title>
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		<title>By: Liviu</title>
		<link>http://www.innerfx.com/short-term-outlook-1215-1225.html/comment-page-1#comment-391</link>
		<dc:creator>Liviu</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Dec 2009 09:44:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.innerfx.com/?p=10711#comment-391</guid>
		<description>Hi niajy 
 
By the time it was above .7180/00, momentum (in daily studies) was slightly positive - the NZD recovery from .7050 reaching levels above monthly opening price (.7155) to as high as .7300. This wasn&#039;t aussie&#039;s case, since AUD recovery initiated around .9020 (corresponding to the mentioned .7050 in NZDUSD) has failed to extend above levels which could confirm a switch in daily momentum from bearish to bullish (break above .9200 didn&#039;t occur - hence downside bias remained intact). So, although AUDUSD is indeed highly correlated to NZDUSD, the NZDUSD was not so affected by dollar&#039;s strength. My momentum oscillators are currently in a slightly bearish - neutral config in NZDUSD - as it fails to recover and confirm the support region of .7180/00 but also fails (so far) to fully breach lower, to confirm downtrend resumption. NZD was dragged lower in overnight trading by the AUD - no doubt about that, else it could have a good chance to bounce off .7200.  
If the dollar continues to rally, NZD will most likely retreat - but as stated earlier : the losses could be smaller comparing to other pairs (i.e. EURUSD, AUDUSD etc).  
 
I wish you Happy Holidays too! thanks </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi niajy </p>
<p>By the time it was above .7180/00, momentum (in daily studies) was slightly positive &#8211; the NZD recovery from .7050 reaching levels above monthly opening price (.7155) to as high as .7300. This wasn&#039;t aussie&#039;s case, since AUD recovery initiated around .9020 (corresponding to the mentioned .7050 in NZDUSD) has failed to extend above levels which could confirm a switch in daily momentum from bearish to bullish (break above .9200 didn&#039;t occur &#8211; hence downside bias remained intact). So, although AUDUSD is indeed highly correlated to NZDUSD, the NZDUSD was not so affected by dollar&#039;s strength. My momentum oscillators are currently in a slightly bearish &#8211; neutral config in NZDUSD &#8211; as it fails to recover and confirm the support region of .7180/00 but also fails (so far) to fully breach lower, to confirm downtrend resumption. NZD was dragged lower in overnight trading by the AUD &#8211; no doubt about that, else it could have a good chance to bounce off .7200.<br />
If the dollar continues to rally, NZD will most likely retreat &#8211; but as stated earlier : the losses could be smaller comparing to other pairs (i.e. EURUSD, AUDUSD etc).  </p>
<p>I wish you Happy Holidays too! thanks</p>
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		<title>By: niajy</title>
		<link>http://www.innerfx.com/short-term-outlook-1215-1225.html/comment-page-1#comment-389</link>
		<dc:creator>niajy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Dec 2009 05:31:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.innerfx.com/?p=10711#comment-389</guid>
		<description>hi! just a question:why do u think NZDUSD remains bullish.. historically NZD and AUD are negatively correlated to USD... and if USD continues to rally then.. NZD retreats?! or is it again a &#039;carry trade&#039; story?  
merry xmas and happy new year btw </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>hi! just a question:why do u think NZDUSD remains bullish.. historically NZD and AUD are negatively correlated to USD&#8230; and if USD continues to rally then.. NZD retreats?! or is it again a &#039;carry trade&#039; story? </p>
<p>merry xmas and happy new year btw</p>
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