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Daily forex analysis: the consolidation continues

Quote of the day: The pure and simple truth is rarely pure and never simple. — Oscar Wilde

EURUSD

Trading strategy: long at 1.2930, stop at 1.2860 (0.5% risk), 1st objective at 1.2970, 2nd objective at 1.3080

The euro is consolidating into a tight range around 1.2990 – upside being capped by 1.3030. Upside is favored and the pair will probably stay above 1.2900 within the next trading sessions, maintaining the short-term studies in a bullish configuration. In case of pullback, look for support to emerge within the 1.2900-1.2930 region – but a break lower should negate the bullish scenario, reopening 1.2800 – perhaps even 1.2700. Current pullback is also caused by the NZDUSD which is losing ground due to NZ’s central bank saying that further interest-rate increases are likely to be “more moderate” than earlier projected. Today’s most important events in the economic calendar: SNB’s Interest Rate Decision and the Initial Jobless Claims in the U.S., later today. Current exchange rate is 1.2987 @05:45 GMT

Support: 1.2900/30, 1.2850, 1.2800, 1.2750 and 1.2660/70
Resistance: 1.3030/50, 1.3100 and 1.3200
Market sentiment: long term – bearish, medium term – slightly bullish, short term – bullish, intra-day – neutral

EURUSD 4hrs chart 9-16-2010
EURUSD 4hrs chart 9-16-2010

More trading setups

GBPUSD

GBPUSD 4hrs chart 9-16-2010
GBPUSD 4hrs chart 9-16-2010

NZDUSD

NZDUSD daily chart 9-16-2010
NZDUSD daily chart 9-16-2010

AUDUSD

AUDUSD 4hrs chart 9-16-2010
AUDUSD 4hrs chart 9-16-2010

AUDJPY

AUDJPY 4hrs chart 9-16-2010
AUDJPY 4hrs chart 9-16-2010

Have a good day!

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7 Responses to Daily forex analysis: the consolidation continues

  1. niajy says:

    eurusd u mean 1st obj 12970 (its monthly pivot) .. im not sure if eurusd could pullback to 1.2930 (under monthly pivot).. if break up, possible targets previous month high (1.33)?

  2. Liviu says:

    thanks for pointing it out. Yes, I meant 1.2970 but it was a typo – I inserted a "3" when my cat was trying to take over the keyboard :)

  3. Liviu says:

    1.32 and 1.33 are achievable. I'm happy with the CHF – currently long EURCHF and EURUSD (since yesterday).

  4. niajy says:

    wow nice trade in eurchf ( tgt 1.3387 monthly pivot?)

    missed it … :) could bank only 70p in USDCHF…

  5. niajy says:

    highly predictable bounce off monthly pivot for eurchf…for easy hundred pips… now good opportunity to enter again long ? let s see…

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