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Dollar Recovering On Risk-Off Trade; Eyes on Bernanke

Quote of the day:“Doubt whom you will, but never yourself.” ~ Christine Bovee

Good morning. The euro changed course and declined after reaching a daily high at $1.3910 yesterday, but remains slightly bullish on short-term basis as recent recovery was quite strong. The German Zew and Bernanke’s speech later today are the most important events of the FX Calendar

EURUSD

As seen below – the pair is still above support formed around 1.3700 where it bounced last week, but it feels quite heavy so it seems a good idea to consider bearish opportunities while it holds below 1.3830/50 – either selling on a minor rally to 1.38 or on a break below 1.37

Euro vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 10-18-2011

Euro vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 10-18-2011

Euro COT

According to latest COT data, there’s not a big change in short contracts yet, despite current recovery to 1.39

Euro COT 10-18-2011

Euro COT 10-18-2011

AUDJPY

AUDJPY – the main risk barometer is following the EUR right now on more euro-zone worries. Next support zone is around 76.50

Australian Dollar Vs Japanese Yen Chart Daily 10-18-2011

Australian Dollar Vs Japanese Yen Chart Daily 10-18-2011

USDCAD

As the recovery continues – it’s probably best to look for a buying opportunity on the break above 1.0260

US Dollar Vs Canadian Dollar Chart Daily 10-18-2011

US Dollar Vs Canadian Dollar Chart Daily 10-18-2011

EURCAD

Not one of the best looking setups these days, but it’s definitely worth watching. As seen below, resistance around 1.41 is still intact and one would say that selling around this level is the best thing to do…

Euro Vs Canadian Dollar Chart 4hrs 10-18-2011

Euro Vs Canadian Dollar Chart 4hrs 10-18-2011

but if you take a look at the daily chart, you notice that yesterday’s candle is suggesting a trend continuation as price found decent bids near 1.39 and the correction was short-lived. Given current strength of resistance near 1.41, I’d say that there are tons of stops loss orders above – so a potential rally should be easily fuelled by short-covering. In conclusion – buying on the break of 1.4070/1.41 seems a good idea

Euro Vs Canadian Dollar Chart Daily 10-18-2011

Euro Vs Canadian Dollar Chart Daily 10-18-2011

Have a great day and good luck trading!

 

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4 Responses to Dollar Recovering On Risk-Off Trade; Eyes on Bernanke

  1. fx365 says:

    The Aud / Nzd looks a nice opportunity for a Long above 1.2870. What are your views?? :)

  2. fx365 says:

    Thanks. Just got in @ 1.2870, sl 1.2700. tp Open ;)

  3. Pingback: Euro Retesting Short-Term Support as Debt Clock Ticks Down | innerfx.com

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