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Dollar under pressure on QE2 bets

Quote of the day: The inability to anticipate changes in supply and demand for a currency is at the root of the statistically robust finding that forecasting exchange rates has a success rate no better than that of forecasting the outcome of a coin toss. – Alan Greenspan

EURUSD

Trading strategy: long at 1.3950 on potential pullback, stop at 1.3880(0.5% risk), 1st objective at 1.400, 2nd objective at 1.4100

The euro continues Friday’s recovery, extending gains above $1.3950 to as high as $1.4010 at time of writing. The dollar is weaker across the board on speculation the Fed will take more credit-easing measures amid signs of a stagnant economic recovery. Next resistance region is set around 1.4050 followed by 1.4150/60. More upside action is favored ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC meeting and a sustained break above last 4-week range should open $1.43 and even last year’s top side around 1.5. In case of intra-day pullbacks, support at 1.3900 should hold so that the euro will maintain current bullish state. Today’s most important event in the economic calendar is the ISM manufacturer Index at 15 GMT. Current exchange rate is 1.3995 @06:33 GMT

Support: 1.3950, 1.3900 and 1.3800
Resistance: 1.400, 1.4050 and 1.4150/60
Market sentiment: long term – mixed, medium term – bullish, short term – bullish, intra-day – bullish

EURUSD 4hrs chart 11-1-2010
EURUSD 4hrs chart 11-1-2010

More trading setups

GBPUSD

GBPUSD 4hrs chart 11-1-2010
GBPUSD 4hrs chart 11-1-2010

USDJPY

USDJPY hourly chart 11-1-2010
USDJPY hourly chart 11-1-2010

AUDUSD

AUDUSD 4hrs chart 11-1-2010
AUDUSD 4hrs chart 11-1-2010

Have a nice day

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8 Responses to Dollar under pressure on QE2 bets

  1. niajy says:

    on USDJPY

    http://www.forexlive.com/143252/all/algo-blamed-f…

    whatever the reason that was not funny :(

  2. Liviu says:

    were you caught short when it happened?

  3. niajy says:

    yes, but fortunately i got tight stop loss

  4. niajy says:

    eurusd if 1.3866 possible move to 1.3796?

    get set for another crash?

  5. Liviu says:

    it follows gold, which will probably re-test 1345 soon

  6. Pingback: AUD retesting parity on RBA hike; EURUSD higher | Forex analysis blog - innerfx.com

  7. Daniela says:

    Liviu, which city do you live in?

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