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euro recovering some ground

Quote of the day: The best thing about the future is that it comes one day at a time. – Abraham Lincoln

EURUSD

Trading strategy: standing aside

The euro recovered to as high as 1.3180 yesterday as the dollar was softer across the board and risk sensitive pairs such as EUR/JPY and AUD/JPY were some of the best performers. Since EUR/JPY is currently testing resistance around 110.60, we better keep an eye on this level as the EUR/USD will most likely follow it in case of break out, hence breaking higher towards 1.34. Short-term sentiment is still strongly bearish and trying to pick bottoms into this area requires extra caution. My plan to sell on pull back to 1.3100 yesterday was ok, as the 50 pips objective was reached relatively fast, but the 2nd target was too optimistic, hence best thing to do was to close at break even point. I remain bearish on euro but current conditions suggest an extended recovery and a break above 1.3180/00 could be a decent buying opportunity. The key events in the economic calendar today are the ECB Interest Rate Decision and the Press Conference after. Current exchange rate is 1.3161 @07:50 GMT

Support: 1.3100, 1.3000/30, 1.2950/70, 1.2900 and 1.2800
Resistance: 1.3180/00, 1.3250, 1.3300 and 1.3380/00
Market sentiment: long term – mixed, medium term – bullish, short term – bearish, intraday – bullish

EURUSD 4hrs forex chart 12-2-2010
EURUSD 4hrs forex chart 12-2-2010

EURJPY

EURJPY 4hrs forex chart 12-2-2010
EURJPY 4hrs forex chart 12-2-2010

More trading setups

EURGBP

EURGBP 4hrs forex chart 12-2-2010
EURGBP 4hrs forex chart 12-2-2010

USDJPY

USDJPY 4hrs forex chart 12-2-2010
USDJPY 4hrs forex chart 12-2-2010

AUDUSD

AUDUSD 4hrs forex chart 12-2-2010
AUDUSD 4hrs forex chart 12-2-2010

Gold

Gold 4hrs chart 12-2-2010
Gold 4hrs chart 12-2-2010

Have a nice day and good luck trading

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17 Responses to euro recovering some ground

  1. Daniela says:

    Liviu, did you look at USDCAD? I am tempted to go long.

    • Liviu says:

      hi

      I checked the 1D chart in the morning and I got scared. It looks too messy for my liking. But the 4hr one is cleaner. I assume you are tempted to buy on this rising trend line support coming from .9975 of November? if so, it looks good.. if you are ready to switch direction on the trend line break.

  2. Daniela says:

    Correct. The 1D is messy. AUDCAD is smtg to keep an eye for. Despite the bad numbers reported this night and the night before the Aussie is very resilient. I believe the recovery will be short lived.

  3. ShortBus says:

    I am liking the short AUD/CAD trade. Have to get in early though, and not try to time the break to perfection, and risk getting a nasty whipsaw.

  4. Daniela says:

    USDCAD broke below the 4h trend line.

  5. ShortBus says:

    I see great chances of a major correction, however one has to keep accumulating longer term. So I have protection on my gold/silver and gold/silver stocks. using puts.

  6. Daniela says:

    and so did the AUDCAD

  7. Daniela says:

    I do not trade gold. Do you follow Ashraf Laidi? I check his site every day.

    "Ashraf's analysis on gold for Cantos Charts focusing on the 55-week MA confluence with the June trendline http://bit.ly/eJ6hWt And for a closer daily look at gold, you can review yesterday's video on here http://bit.ly/gcP5af

    Tags: Ashraf, Gold

    December 1, 2010 19:09 ET: Ashraf's Video Market Highlights dissecting the $1389 level in gold and the 1206 barrier in the S&P500

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pCkAk-Sq79o
    "

  8. Liviu says:

    thanks for the links.

    I follow Ashraf's insightful reports but not on regular basis, so I miss some of his analysis.

    seems that USD is again under pressure, i'm long Aud/Usd

  9. Daniela says:

    Morning. I'm short AUDUSD.

  10. Liviu says:

    Morning. I was long and closed yesterday evening. It doesn't look good for a short so I wish you good luck. What's your stop and target?

    AUD/JPY and EUR/JPY could be good buys as equities will probably continue to sky rocket a la buy,buy,buy mode when the <del>fake </del>employment data comes out :)

  11. Daniela says:

    Target is .95 so I will be in the trade for some time.

  12. Daniela says:

    How is the internet in Buc? I am fed up with the unreliability of internet in this place. Had no internet yesterday morning for one and a half hrs and no internet this afternoon for an other hr.

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