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Market Steady Ahead of NFP

When a thought is too weak to be expressed simply, it should be rejected. ~ Marquis de Vauvenargues

Good morning. Not much happened since price stalled after Wednesday’s risk rally and not much is likely to happen until later today, when the NFP data will be published. Consensus is +120k.

USD Index

Support at 78 is intact as price is quietly consolidating ahead of jobs data. In case of a break of said support, short-term sentiment will turn bearish

USD Index Chart Daily 12-2-2011

USD Index Chart Daily 12-2-2011

EURUSD

A consolidation range between 1.3430/50 and 1.3500/15 is formed and it seems to be narrowing. 1.36 is next important barrier, above 1.35

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart Hourly 12-2-2011

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart Hourly 12-2-2011

AUDNZD

Scanning through current charts, I found AUDNZD which is quite interesting. This is the second consolidation period after it reached fresh highs and there’s a good chance that uptrend is running out of steam. In case it does, selling on the break of support at 1.3050/60 is a plan I’m considering

Australian Dollar Vs New Zealand Dollar Chart Daily 12-2-2011

Australian Dollar Vs New Zealand Dollar Chart Daily 12-2-2011

AUDJPY

Upside remains favored as equities continue to climb higher following Wednesday’s coordinated intervention. No reason to sell it yet as there’s no signal to suggest that.

Australian Dollar Vs Japanese Yen Chart Daily 12-2-2011

Australian Dollar Vs Japanese Yen Chart Daily 12-2-2011

GBPCHF

Rumors of interventions continue to kick the CHF every time it gains ground – retesting recent bottoms against the EUR, GBP etc. Trading against a central bank’s plan is not the best idea. The house always wins. So, buying on the break of 1.44 looks like a good plan these days

British Pound Vs Swiss Franc Chart 4hrs 12-2-2011

British Pound Vs Swiss Franc Chart 4hrs 12-2-2011

Have a great day and a nice weekend!

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5 Responses to Market Steady Ahead of NFP

  1. Pawan says:

    AUDJPY- Looks like a W formation. If it is W then we might see some selling opportunity pretty soon. What Ya say?

    • liviu says:

      it all depends on what the croupiers.. sorry, I mean the central bankers are up to. AUDJPY follows equities and equities are up due to their coordinated intervention. Well, someone doesn't like to see equities (AUD respectively) down, so the selling opportunities I'd look for are rather on weakness, if the free-fall resumes. I wouldn't sell at highs

  2. nice range to be selling eurusd against upside correction between 1.3540 and 1.3440….

    guess all those resistances working now…got kicked from the top

    divergences still working…wouldnt be surprised if it closes just around 1.3350 today for the relaxed weekend..

    regards http://www.4xforecasts.com

  3. Pingback: Daily technical outlook | In Digest Biz

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