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Risk On in The First Week of 2012

“The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts.” – Bertrand Russell

Good morning and Happy New Year to all – may this year bring you joy, happiness and all you hope for! Currency pairs started moving again and there should be lots of trading opportunities in the coming months. On near term basis – Friday’s NFP is the most important data release in this first week of 2012.

USD Index

Dollar starts the year retreating from recent top zone as risk trade picks up

USD Index Chart Daily 1-4-2012

USD Index Chart Daily 1-4-2012

EURUSD

Euro benefits from current risk appetite, following the Aussie dollar and world stocks. Threats of new euro zone sovereign downgrades might keep the euro vulnerable to more sell-offs. I remain bearish on EUR (short and medium term) but I rather wait for a strong catalyst to trigger the next selling round. Meanwhile, keep an eye on 1.3100 (more…)

- Continue reading: Risk On in The First Week of 2012

Dollar Continues Uptrend; EURJPY Testing 100

Some people will never learn anything because they understand everything too soon. ~ Alexander Pope 

Good morning. It’s been a bad year for the euro and it ain’t over yet, as there are only two more days until 2012 and the euro has breached below $1.30 and reached 100.30 against the Japanese yen – the lowest level in 10 years. Today’s Initial Jobless Claims (FX Calendar) is the last important economic release of 2011 and tomorrow should be rather quiet due to lack of events and preparations for the New Year’s Eve. Let’s take a quick look at some of the last charts of 2011

USD Index

Recent top near 81 is under pressure as last correction to mid 79 is over. Uptrend is intact & strong as EURUSD continues to slide, so best thing to do right now is to remain bullish on USD

USD Index Daily Chart 12-29-2011

USD Index Daily Chart 12-29-2011

EURUSD

Two days ago I was rather expecting the tight range to remain intact until January or perhaps see a correction towards 1.32-1.33 due to bears closing positions before year end, but it seems they don’t miss the selling opportunity of one last decline in 2011. Is the pair about to close below 1.300 tomorrow? – then selling in the 1.2980/00 region on weak rally is a plan to consider.

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 12-29-2011

Euro Vs US Dollar Chart 4hrs 12-29-2011

USDCAD (more…)

- Continue reading: Dollar Continues Uptrend; EURJPY Testing 100

Happy Holidays!

Winter holidays are just around the corner, creating the need to escape the daily routine, have some fun and spend more time with families and friends. Therefore, I’d like to take this opportunity to wish you all Happy Holidays!

Holidays Cat Present

I’ll be back next week. Cheers!

- Continue reading: Happy Holidays!

Risk On Trade Sends Dollar Below Support, Aussie gets a Lift

The greatest challenge to any thinker is stating the problem in a way that will allow a solution. ~ Bertrand Russell

Good morning. Dollar pulled back yesterday as risk pairs rallied following stocks, hence my plans to look for selling opportunities on more AUD weakness are on-hold. Holidays are approaching, so it’s probably best to take a break – not focusing much on charts & trades these days.

USD Index

Support formed by recent resistance around 80 is being breached, and that’s a big warning sign for dollar bulls. Perhaps is not the best thing to buy dips yet, but rather wait a bit more to see how this unfolds

USD Index Chart Daily 12-21-2011

USD Index Chart Daily 12-21-2011

EURUSD (more…)

- Continue reading: Risk On Trade Sends Dollar Below Support, Aussie gets a Lift

Some Quiet Tuesday Charts

In these matters the only certainty is that nothing is certain. ~ Pliny the Elder

Good morning. Not much happened since yesterday, hence the trading ranges remain narrow. The dollar index holds onto gains above support formed by recent top, while the euro continues to hover around $1.300 in sideways trade.

USD Index

No change of sentiment – dips will likely continue to be bought

USD Index Chart Daily 12-20-2011

USD Index Chart Daily 12-20-2011

EURUSD (more…)

- Continue reading: Some Quiet Tuesday Charts

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