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RBA surprises by leaving rates unchanged – dollar recovers

Quote of the day: Fortune favors the prepared mind. – Louis Pasteur

EURUSD

Trading strategy: standing aside

The dollar recovered some losses and former resistance region at 1.3680 is still under pressure as the pair continues to orbit on a 80 pips range – around it. Current pullback is most likely corrective, but it is a bit too early to say it is completed. However, upside remains favored on a short-term basis, minor intra-day resistance emerging at 1.3725 – where a break should stimulate further gains towards 1.38, while on the lower side – below 1.3640 would signal more weakness, hence providing a selling opportunity targeting 1.3550/70. The economic calendar remains lighter today, after the RBA surprised the market by keeping the rate unchanged at 4.5% for the fifth straight month. Current exchange rate is 1.3714 @06:48 GMT

Support: 1.3680/00, 1.3600, 1.3550/70 and 1.3500/10
Resistance: 1.3625/50, 1.3800, 1.3850 and 1.3900
Market sentiment: long term – bearish, medium term – bullish, short term – bullish, intra-day – slightly bullish

EURUSD hourly chart 10-5-2010
EURUSD hourly chart 10-5-2010

More trading setups

GBPUSD

GBPUSD 4hrs chart 10-5-2010
GBPUSD 4hrs chart 10-5-2010

EURCHF

EURCHF 4hrs chart 10-5-2010
EURCHF 4hrs chart 10-5-2010

AUDUSD

AUDUSD 4hrs chart 10-5-2010
AUDUSD 4hrs chart 10-5-2010

Have a great day!

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4 Responses to RBA surprises by leaving rates unchanged – dollar recovers

  1. Daniela says:

    Hi Liviu,

    Economic calendar lighter today?
    http://www.fx360.com/calendar/ indicates several high and medium impact events for Tuesday. As a matter of fact EURUSD jumped 80 pips due to the PMI announcements

  2. Liviu says:

    hi

    forexpros.com's calendar (which I use) doesn't include anything that important today except for AU and Japan's rate decisions. I check only one calendar :)

  3. Kalyango Andrew Simo says:

    Hello,

    Thanks for the very good analysis.

    I have over the months referred to your analysis only as a confirmation to the other analysts, but by the consistence you have displayed, I intend to use you as my primary analyst.

    Please forgive my delayed conversion.

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